Five strategic mistakes made by Putin in Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin made five strategic mistakes that led him to invade Ukraine, which together will have five devastating consequences for the Russian Federation for decades to come, according to the Eurasia Review .

Five strategic mistakes made by Putin in Ukraine

The magazine quotes London-based Russian analyst Vladimir Pastukhov as saying that the first mistake was that Putin had a wrong idea about the military-political situation in Ukraine.

Putin believed that "the Ukrainian regime will collapse quickly like a house of cards because it failed to understand the nature of the Ukrainian revolution and its anti-colonial character."

The second mistake, according to Pastukhov, is that Putin had a wrong idea about the military capabilities of the Ukrainian army. 

He adds that "like most Western experts, Putin assumed that the Ukrainian army would be defeated in two to four days, but what is happening now is the Ukrainian army is still fighting and defending well." 

The Russian analyst believes that "Russia's easy victory in Crimea eight years ago played a major role in the hoax against Putin."

As for the third mistake, it is related to Putin's unrealistic assessment of the capabilities of the Russian army, according to Pastukhov, who indicated that the fourth mistake was the Russian president's underestimation of the strength and unity of the international reaction.

Pastukhov believes that "almost the entire world turned against Putin and his war, including China, which showed that its relations with the United States were a priority compared to those it had with Russia."

Finally, the Russian analyst points out that the fifth mistake is the Kremlin leader's exaggeration of the effectiveness of nuclear blackmail, and that he assumed that his possession of a nuclear shield would enable him to act with impunity.

Taken together, these five mistakes eventually lead to dire consequences that will have a huge impact on Russia for decades to come.

Among the consequences, is that from now on, "Putin, the Kremlin, Russia and the Russians are equal in the eyes of international public opinion and no one will distinguish between those sanctions against the Kremlin and those imposed on Russia" according to the analysis.

Also, Putin's actions have turned Russia into "the most outlawed regime, and it will take decades to get rid of these measures."

The analyst also believes that Putin is on his way to establishing a "theocratic dictatorship" and the isolation imposed on his country would "turn it into a country similar to North Korea, a country that possesses nuclear weapons, but without an effective economy." 

He concludes by saying that failure to ensure the use of nuclear weapons by Putin will increase the risk of nuclear war, and this will constitute a "permanent nightmare for several generations" not only for the rest of the world but for Russia as well.

Eurasia Review

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